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Yes, the number 3.
This isn't a Sesame Street thing, timed as a 'November Surprise' to help sway the election. This may actually be more important than that to a lot of patients out there with type 2 Diabetes and obesity.
I already let you know we were in Vegas recently, some of the Bariatric group at Ellis, to attend the Fall meeting of the ASMBS. One of the eventful things I got out of the meeting was a review of a recent study that qualified the preoperative predictors for a Diabetic patient and the likelihood of Diabetes remission after Gastric Bypass at 1 year post op.
"Predicting the Glycemic Response to Gastric Bypass Surgery in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes" was a study published in Diabetes Care October 1, 2012. It looked at 154 ethnic Chinese subjects, and how their glycemic response was influenced by Bypass at 1 year post op. It defined remission as a HbA1c of less than or equal to 6%. Remission was achieved in 107 patients (70%) at 12 mos.
The three (as in 3, our magic # for this post) independent preoperative predictors, and therefore 3 clinically useful cutoffs were as follows:
1. Diabetes duration of < 4 years.
2. BMI of > 35
3. Fasting C-Peptide concentration of 2.9 (let's call it 3 for the fun of it...)
The study further concluded, the combination of 2 of 3 of the clinical predictors allowed for a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 87% for remission.
This is huge, Caroline, HUG-E.
I have detailed in this Blog, in previous posts, specific Case Studies supporting this degree of remission after Gastric Bypass surgery. We have discussed the physio-endocrine mechanisms for the remission, or at least, substantial improvement of glycemic control following Bypass, and to a similar degree Sleeve Gastrectomy.
What this study now shows is two-fold, as I see it. One, it further underscores the power of the procedure- Gastric Bypass causing Diabetes remission. And two, it shows that sooner is better, and qualifies the clinical cutoffs for when referring a patient sooner is better.
Sending patients for Bariatric surgical consideration when they still have significant Pancreatic Islet Cell reserve, as implied by the "less than 4 years of Diabetes", and specifically measuring it by C-Peptide as above 2.9 (greater than 3) will give your patient the best chance at the best result from their Bariatric procedure.
So, perhaps the C-Peptide is a more sensitive indicator for referral then which / how many PO Diabetes medicines the patient is on; how much insulin the patient is on; what type of insulin the patient is on (short or long acting); or how heavy (BMI) the patient is.
It is said, Everything happens in 3's... and maybe it's true...
*3 clinical cutoffs for the best timing for Bypass for best chance of Diabetes remission
*A C-Peptide of 3 or higher will likely lead to greater likelihood of Diabetes remission after surgery
*and, of the 3 common procedures we offer, Bypass and Sleeve are the most likely to give you the greatest metabolic (Diabetes) benefit for your buck perioperatively.
Lastly, 3 has always been my son's favorite number. Go Red Dragons!
Enough said. Viva Las Vegas!
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